Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations (TACIR)
Harry A. Green, Executive Director

Population Projections for the State of Tennessee

TACIR, in conjunction with The University of Tennessee Center for Business and Economic Research, has published a new report containing population projections for Tennessee cities and counties in five-year intervals from 2010 to 2030. The purpose of the projections is to aid in local planning efforts, such as those outlined in Public Chapter 1101 (PC1101). The complete report and tables are available below.

Population Projections for the State of Tennessee, 2010 to 2030

Population Projection Tables HTML | EXCEL

• Aggregate Projections for Tennessee HTML | EXCEL
• Aggregate Projections for Tennessee Counties HTML | EXCEL
• Aggregate Projections for Municipalities* Arrayed by County HTML | EXCEL
• Aggregate Projections for Municipalities* Alphabetically HTML | EXCEL
• Aggregate Projections for Municipalities* by Development District HTML | EXCEL
• Aggregate Projections for Tennessee Counties within MSAs HTML | EXCEL

*Does not include the effects of annexations after 2000.

Demographic Information on Age-Gender Composition

In addition to the population projections for each Tennessee city and county contained in the report above, you may access more detailed cohort-component data for a city or county below. (Please note that updated demographic projections will be forthcoming.)

Please either click a county on the Tennessee state map or click a county name in the alphabetical list below the map to access the cohort-component data. Note the Word of Caution following table listed below.

Alphabetically by County

-- choose a county -- Anderson Bedford Benton Bledsoe Blount Bradley Campbell Cannon Carroll Carter Cheatham Chester Claiborne Clay Cocke Coffee Crockett Cumberland Davidson Decatur DeKalb Dickson Dyer Fayette Fentress Franklin Gibson Giles Grainger Greene Grundy Hamblen Hamilton Hancock Hardeman Hardin Hawkins Haywood Henderson Henry Hickman Houston Humphreys Jackson Jefferson Johnson Knox Lake Lauderdale Lawrence Lewis Lincoln Loudon McMinn McNairy Macon Madison Marion Marshall Maury Meigs Monroe Montgomery Moore Morgan Obion Overton Perry Pickett Polk Putnam Rhea Roane Robertson Rutherford Scott Sequatchie Sevier Shelby Smith Stewart Sullivan Sumner Tipton Trousdale Unicoi Union Van Buren Warren Washington Wayne Weakley White Williamson Wilson

-- choose a document to view/download -- County demographic information - HTML format (.htm) County demographic information - Excel format (.xls)

Choose a county and document

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Word of Caution

Users of this data should be aware that population projections such as these rely on a number of assumptions about the continuation of past trends into the future. When using population projections such as these, people are encouraged to use them as a guide illustrating a general possible scenario of future growth patterns. Although these projections are based on a mathematical model using sound scientific principles, ultimately, the overall accuracy of these projections will depend on the extent to which future events unfold in a manner that mirrors these past observations. Different projections using different assumptions will inevitable yield different results. In addition, there may be people with specific knowledge or understanding of events and factors that may affect their local communities that could result in a more complete understanding of the growth dynamic affecting their community. Thus, we caution users not to construe these figures as predicting a specific or inevitable future course of events. Instead, the numbers contained within this report should be read as a likely course of future population change based on a continuation of past trends. Population projections such as these are simply one of a number of tools that planners and local community leaders should consider when envisioning the future for their communities.